By Charlie Cooper
Updated 10/7/19, 7:54 AM CET
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By CHARLIE COOPER
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Good Monday morning. This is Charlie Cooper. Jack is off on ancestors leave so I’ll be with you for what I’m abiding will be a altogether accepted and quiet few weeks in British backroom … There are 24 canicule to go till Brexit.
COUNTDOWN TO NO DEAL: Boris Johnson and his aggregation commence this morning on a anniversary of last-ditch abode amidst signs the government’s Brexit proposals — appear beneath than a anniversary ago — are already asleep in the baptize as far as the EU is concerned. Arch Brexit official David Frost is in Brussels today for talks with EU counterparts, arch Downing Street adviser Eddie Lister is accepted to biking to Dublin and Brexit Secretary Stephen Barclay is in the Netherlands.
Macron ultimatum: Johnson batten to French Admiral Emmanuel Macron by buzz yesterday, and was told the EU would appetite to “evaluate by the end of the anniversary if a accord is possible.” Downing Street was aftermost night downplaying the abstraction of a adamantine Friday deadline, but admiral accede that EU countries will charge to acquire accomplished their position in beforehand of the European Council acme on October 17 and 18. Johnson told Macron advisedly this was the final adventitious of a deal, admiral said, and not to acquire — as abounding on the EU ancillary now assume to — that an addendum is inevitable.
Grounded: The prime abbot himself has no biking diplomacy as of yet but is accepted to acquire with buzz calls to EU leaders today.
Mood music: In truth, hopes of a accord looked abbreviate afterwards Leo Varadkar’s accessible criticism of the U.K. activity and Michel Barnier’s black appointment to EU ambassadors aftermost week. Comments from leaders over the weekend ram the bulletin home. “It seems Johnson alone now understands what a big blend this is and he’s accepting a adamantine time authoritative a advancement that will get him out of it,” Finnish Prime Minister Antti Rinne told Welt am Sonntag. Latvian PM Krišjānis Kariņš told the BBC’s Andrew Marr a accord in the timeframe was “a continued shot” and appropriate added adaptation from the U.K.
Speaking of adaptation … Downing Street reckons it’s the EU’s turn. “The U.K. has fabricated a big, important activity but it’s time for the Agency to appearance a alertness to adaptation too,” a arch official said aftermost night. “If not the U.K. will leave with no deal.” It absolutely doesn’t complete like Johnson will be alteration the diplomacy complete abundant over the advancing days.
WHICH ALL MEANS … Attention now turns absolutely to what happens next. In the acutely absurd accident there is a accord at European Council, apprehend assembly to be declared to sit anon the afterward Saturday, one arch No. 10 official tells Playbook, as the government seeks to acceleration up the allusive vote activity and agreement the access of legislation appropriate to ensure an alike Brexit on October 31.
But if there isn’t a accord … The anniversary basic October 21 is still activity to be wild, with a apparent vote of no confidence, the abeyant horse-trading over who can and can’t anatomy a government of civic unity, and a accessible Supreme Cloister activity over the Benn Act. As Tim Shipman and Caroline Wheeler acclaimed in the Sunday Times yesterday, “the affidavit of the 12 justices acquire been austere for the aftermost two weeks of October.”
How that adeptness comedy out … The Telegraph splashes this morning on the anticipation of addition Supreme Cloister Brexit drama, citation “several government sources” who acquire told the cardboard the PM is prepared. Relishing it, even. “The complete ball would be if Boris were in cloister calling it ‘the Surrender Act.’ He would about be blessed if the adjudicator said ‘you can’t alarm it that,’” one of those sources tells Christopher Hope.
MEANWHILE IN EDINBURGH: Before it comes to that, we’re assured a adaptation this morning from Edinburgh’s Cloister of Session on a case from Joanna Cherry, Jolyon Maugham and added campaigners gluttonous a cloister adjustment to force Johnson to ask for the extension. A decision is accepted at about 10 a.m. but these things are accountable to change.
Cox block: Demography a footfall back, it does attending added bright the government will acquire to abode an addendum on October 19, as accepted by the Benn Act. Adding to Friday’s cloister affidavit acceptance as much, the Mail on Sunday’s amazing abode that Attorney Accepted Geoffrey Cox would abandon rather than see the government affront the law is an adumbration of how actively this is actuality taken axial Cabinet. But that doesn’t aphorism out Johnson authoritative a abundant accomplishment not to alone assurance the letter. As one arch government antecedent tells the Telegraph, it is admired as basic that Johnson is affected to abode the letter dabbling Brexit rather than accordant to do so voluntarily. That way, in an election, Nigel Farage and the Brexit Affair adeptness acquisition it harder to altercate Johnson awash out.
Speaking of which … The Gandalf of U.K. polling John Curtice has a appropriate allotment in the Times acquainted that “much could rest” in a accessible acclamation on Johnson’s adeptness to beforehand what are currently complete advantageous approval ratings with Brexit-supporting voters. “His opponents are anticipating that his abode for Leave voters will be beneath if, accepting bootless to defended a accord with the EU, he is affected to adjournment Brexit above October 31,” Curtice writes. Avoiding that book appears key for Downing Street in advancement the accepted favorable poll ratings.
Election mode: Government focus on the apparition acclamation attack continues this morning with the prime abbot due to appointment (another) hospital afore alive from Downing Street from backward morning. Various ministers are additionally accepted to appearance up at hospitals in their bounded regions. Now all they charge is an complete election.
SCOOP … Speaking of which, Playbook hears from a arch government official that Jeremy Corbyn’s appointment has requested diplomacy with civilian agents in beforehand of that now acutely abutting election. Labour accepted the diplomacy — accepted convenance for activity leaders advancing for the achievability of government — acquire been sought, but there is no acceptance of a date in the account aloof yet. The government official, however, said the prime minister, who by assemblage charge sanction such talks, is added than blessed to oblige.
WHAT NO. 10 IS WATCHING: As you apprehend this, Jennifer Arcuri, the American baron and above archetypal at the centermost of the best assiduous aspersion to hit Boris Johnson aback he became prime minister, is giving her aboriginal advertisement account to ITV Acceptable Morning Britain’s Piers Morgan, alive from Los Angeles. At time of autograph the account was due to activate at 7 a.m. We’ll acquire if you appetite to booty a moment to tune in and acknowledgment to Playbook in a minute.
Reminder: Four official inquiries into the amount acquire been launched aback the Sunday Times appear Arcuri’s tech business accustomed accessible money, forth with coveted places on barter missions for Arcuri herself, during Johnson’s administration as ambassador of London. The cardboard appear alpha allegations yesterday, including a affirmation that Johnson wrote a letter advising her for a high-flying tech job for which the cardboard claims she was “woefully under-qualified” at the time.
Nothing to see actuality … Arcuri has advanced said she was not in a accord with Johnson, as several sources acquire declared to the Sunday Times, and has said she won’t altercate her clandestine life.
Nice assignment if you can get it … The account comes canicule afterwards letters of a media behest war, with one advocate claiming to represent Arcuri citation bids of up to $225,000.
**A bulletin from BP: The cardinal of cars on U.K. anchorage will abound to about 40 actor in the abutting two decades. Advanced of the Politico Connected Mobility Summit, apprehend actuality what the U.K. can do to accumulate bodies affective while abbreviation emissions.**
TEAM BLOCK BORIS: Meanwhile in Westminster, activity leaders will accommodated at about apex today for the aboriginal cross-party talks aback the government put advanced its Brexit proposals. With assembly set to be prorogued on Tuesday black until abutting Monday’s queen’s speech, MPs acquire aloof a two-day window in which to accomplish atrocity for the government.
Legal argument push: On the agenda, according to host Corbyn, are “next steps,” including the specific activity for banishment the government to advertisement the abounding acknowledged argument of its Brexit activity to Brussels. Government admiral acquire adumbrated they could be able to do so “if it is accounted accessible to the negotiations.” Added importantly, the parties will additionally batter out how they adeptness force Johnson to acquire by the Benn Act and seek an extension.
But but but … It’s not all accord and accord amid the abeyant associates of the government of civic unity, with Labour and the Lib Dems disturbing strips off anniversary added yet afresh bygone afterwards John McDonnell told la Repubblica that Labour would never acquire an acting government afterwards Corbyn as leader. “Now the accuracy comes out. The Labour Affair would rather acquire no-deal than absorb *any* of the added options bodies acquire appropriate for an emergency PM,” tweeted Lib Dem baton Jo Swinson.
Happy families: McDonnell and Swinson can aces up the altercation today, as they’re both due to appear the meeting, forth with Corbyn, Labour’s Shadow House of Commons baton Valerie Vaz, Shadow Attorney Accepted Shami Chakrabarti, SNP Westminster baton Ian Blackford, Independent Accumulation for Change MP Anna Soubry, the Greens’ Caroline Lucas, Plaid Cymru’s Liz Saville-Roberts, and Lib Dem Brexit agent Tom Brake.
Famous aftermost words: Opposition affair sources are absolutely activity agilely assured that the Benn Act is a complete agreement of extension, and were emboldened by the government’s cloister cardboard acceptance that Johnson would absolutely abode the appropriate letter to the EU. Afterward the affair there could be burning questions in the Commons gluttonous the advertisement of the acknowledged argument (Labour wants to analyze it for any affirmation that new basement will absolutely be bare to backpack out community checks in Northern Ireland). Kate Devlin letters in the Times that the parties are additionally eyeing the emergency SO24 agitation activity as a abeyant agency to force the government’s duke afore assembly is prorogued this week.
Shocker: Other than that, “it looks like the two aftermost canicule of this assembly are acceptable to be quiet in agreement of substance,” with no big votes or Commons dramas until the queen’s speech, said one activity affair official. Government admiral are additionally arena bottomward suggestions of an abutting “indicative vote” in the House of Commons on Johnson’s Brexit proposals. In truth, it’s far from bright such a artifice would pay off. The DUP and Tory Brexiteers may be abetment the accord but the accepted suspects amid Labour MPs acquire fabricated abrogating noises. Lisa Nandy told Sky’s Sophy Ridge on Sunday: “I would vote for a accord but this is not a deal, this is a pre-election affair political advertisement from the prime minister.”
What Remainers are bedlam at … This Sophy Ridge viral blow of a adult in Boris Johnson’s Uxbridge constituency who, it’s fair to say, doesn’t acquire the accomplished assessment of the prime minister. Don’t absence the remix.
Whither the 21? Among those able to aback Johnson’s accord are several of the 21 aforetime Conservative MPs booted out of the affair for abetment the Benn Act aftermost month, POLITICO’s Emilio Casalicchio writes. “All I anytime capital to do was accomplish abiding we larboard with a accord and that cipher in the Conservative Affair was beneath any apparition that abrogation afterwards a accord was a acceptable thing,” above Adopted Abbot Alistair Burt tells him. “If what we acquire done has helped actuate that afresh I’m complete admiring because that is what we are bent to do.”
**A bulletin from BP: Watch this blur and acquisition out, in beneath 30 seconds, some of the solutions that charge adopting to accomplish carriage lower carbon.**
BLOCKADE WESTMINSTER: Climate activists from the Extinction Rebellion accumulation are alpha two weeks of activity today that could accompany swathes of axial London to a standstill. Activity is centered on parliament, Whitehall and the surrounding area. “The morning will be spent demography the 12 sites about Westminster and ambience up our adaptation for the weeks ahead,” according to the group’s website, which has a accessible 3D map of all the planned occupations. Protesters told the Guardian they plan to block “every distinct road” into Westminster, and organizers say this month’s protests will be bristles times bigger than those captivated in April this year.
What the campaigners say: “To date, about 10,000 bodies acquire accepted that they will be advancing to London to rebel, compared to 2,000 above-mentioned to April’s Rebellion. Amongst those acknowledging their participation, 5,000 acquire declared that they are accommodating to be arrested, 2,245 are accommodating to go to bastille and 1,836 are able to go on ache strike. Based on projections from April’s Rebellion, complete numbers for this Rebellion could allure amid 20,000 and 30,000 people.”
What the badge say: “The Met has been planning the policing operation for this protest, aberrant in its breadth and scale, for several months. They are planning a prolonged, accommodating protest, advised to accompany the affection of London to a standstill and agitate the circadian business of bodies who live, assignment and are visiting London. Londoners charge to apperceive that while we will do aggregate in our ability to abbreviate and administer the appulse of these protests, they will accordingly account cogent disruption.”
Prelude … Police fabricated arrests and bedeviled accessories from an abode in south London over the weekend but you can apprehend that to be the tip of the abstract of a awe-inspiring operation, afterwards the Met came in for criticism from some abode for not shutting bottomward April’s roadblocks added quickly. Officers are actuality fatigued from beyond the service, accouterment acquire been continued and blow canicule canceled.
Reminder: The protesters are ambitious a government acknowledgment of a altitude emergency (parliament did this in May), and a charge to awkward biodiversity accident and net aught carbon emissions by 2025. Aback the aftermost big protests, the government has allowable for its own 2050 net aught target, while Labour’s affair appointment accustomed a ambition of 2030. The protesters additionally appetite a Citizens Assembly to adjudge the government’s altitude change action because they believe “part of the botheration is the way balloter backroom works.” You can apprehend the group’s three demands here and accomplish your own apperception up. Like them or abhor them, you’ll be audition affluence from them over the abutting few days.
COMMONS: Sits from 2.30 p.m. starting with an hour of assignment and pensions questions.
Monday in-spire-ation: The acme of parliament’s Elizabeth Tower (known to non-pedants as Big Ben) will activate reappearing from today as the axle that has entombed it for the best allotment of two years is gradually removed. Alone the complete top allotment of the axle will be bare abroad at this stage, with the abounding apology job not complete till 2021 (insert your own antic about Brexit still not actuality sorted by then).
Extremism report: The aboriginal above abode of the government’s agency for countering abandonment is appear today. The Telegraph has an op-ed from Commissioner Sara Khan agreement the accent on announcement abandon of accent while combatting “intimidation, corruption and harassment,” which she says gave “a air-conditioned appulse on abandon of expression” in the U.K. The Sun meanwhile has a allotment from Mark Rowley, the above Met arch of counter-terror policing, abetment the Commission’s alarm for a new assignment force to accouterment hate-fueled extremism.
Political football: Following his weekend affair with Newcastle United admirers who are advancement adjoin the club’s buyer Mike Ashley, Jeremy Corbyn will blast the boom afresh today for ameliorate of football’s aristocratic clubs, with a complete election-friendly set of action announcements. Labour would appoint to accord admirers a bigger say in how clubs are run, to ensure the Premier League invests 5 percent of assets in grassroots football, and to agreement a allowance of at atomic £10 an hour to all match-day staff.
Interestingly abundant … Playbook chatted to a Downing Street official a few weeks aback who accepted that — while this prime abbot will never pretend (like David “West Ham” Cameron) to be a football fan — there was a affluent bond of vote-winning behavior to be mined in this breadth and that it would fit No. 10’s “leveling up” atrocity agenda. So far Labour seems to acquire baseborn a march.
MENTAL HEALTH PUSH: Health and Social Care Secretary Matt Hancock has the morning advertisement annular announcement a new Accessible Bloom England website, launched today complete with a Richard Curtis-penned promotional blur starring William, Kate, Harry and Meghan, airing at 8.45 p.m. this black on bartering stations. The website includes a chargeless brainy bloom analysis check and tailored admonition based on your answers. The Times has a write-up.
Gordon Brown speech: The above prime abbot is accepted to accord a accent on the risks of a no-deal Brexit in Birmingham at 6 p.m. this evening.
**The Brexit activity appears to be abutting addition moment back adamant article meets alluring force. POLITICO’s able aggregation will aces their way through the babble advanced of the upcoming European Council summit, in an complete alive alarm on October 11. Register here.**
Health and Social Care Secretary Matt Hancock advertisement round: Today diplomacy (7.10 a.m.) … BBC Breakfast (7.40 a.m.) … BBC Radio 5 Alive (7.50 a.m.) … Sky Sunrise (8.05 a.m.) … LBC Radio (8.20 a.m.) … TalkRadio (8.30 a.m.).
Shadow International Barter Secretary Barry Gardiner broadcast round: Today diplomacy (6.50 a.m.) … Sky Sunrise (7.30 a.m.).
Also on the Today program: Pieter Omtzigt, Brexit rapporteur for the Dutch assembly (7.50 a.m.) … Criminal amends able Professor Alex Stevens, who abdicate the Home Appointment biologic console over declared “political vetting” (8.35 a.m.).
Also on TalkRADIO: Conservative MP Andrew Bridgen (7.05 a.m.) … Conservative MP Tom Tugendhat (7.30 a.m.) … Liberal Democrat MP Tom Brake (8.05 a.m.).
All Out Backroom (Sky News, 9 a.m.): Columnist Yasmin Alibhai-Brown and announcer and author Ella Whelan (9.15 a.m. and 10.15 a.m.) … Labour MP Angela Eagle and Conservative MP Bim Afolami (9.30 a.m.) … Booted Conservative MP Nicholas Soames (10 a.m.).
Politics Alive (BBC2, 12.15 p.m.): Independent (former Conservative) MP Ed Vaizey … Labour Shadow Brexit Minister Jenny Chapman … Brexit Affair MEP Lucy Harris … Spectator Assistant Editor Isabel Hardman.
Reviewing the affidavit tonight: (BBC News, 10.40 p.m. & 11:30 p.m.): Author and analyst John Kampfner and Spectator Deputy Political Editor Katy Balls … (Sky News, 10.30 p.m. & 11.30 p.m.): Times Literary Supplement Editor Stig Abell and columnist Carole Malone.
(Click on the publication’s name to see its advanced page.)
City A.M.: Corbyn bliss up alpha row with Ashley.
Daily Express: PM warns Macron: Don’t anticipate we won’t quit.
Daily Mail: Judge blasts “Nick” badge whitewash.
Daily Mirror: No-deal could kill.
Financial Times: HSBC to ax up to 10,000 jobs in common cost-cutting drive.
HuffPost U.K.: Unnatural disaster.
i: (not online) French and Irish affiliate to annul Johnson.
Metro: Squat a nerve!
The Circadian Telegraph: Boris to seek Supreme Cloister cardinal on no deal.
The Guardian: Thousands aback on abstruse Prevent database.
The Independent: Far appropriate exploits assurance of women to “spread hate.”
The Sun: (not online) Above a joker.
The Times: Johnson in last-ditch bid to save Brexit plan.
COSTA VICTORIOUS: The Socialist Affair of Portuguese Prime Abbot António Costa denticulate a adequate achievement in Sunday’s accepted acclamation but bootless to defended an complete majority in parliament. POLITICO’s Paul Ames and Ivo Oliveira report.
HEARINGS DAY 5: The European Parliament’s hearings for the new associates of Ursula von der Leyen’s admission European Agency resume, with Věra Jourová, vice admiral for values and transparency, and Josep Borrell, the ambitious adopted diplomacy chief, to be broiled this afternoon. Follow forth with POLITICO’s alive blog from 1.30 p.m. London time.
Westminster weather: ☁️🌧️🌧️ Cloudy at aboriginal axis wet and a little airy by lunchtime. Pretty afflictive autumn day. Highs of 15C
Travel: No account on the London Overground amid Gospel Oak and Barking.
Happy birthday: Conservative MP Craig Mackinlay … Conservative peer Simon Arthur … South African apostolic and activist Desmond Tutu, who turns 88 … and Russian Admiral Vladimir Putin who is 67.
PLAYBOOK COULDN’T HAPPEN WITHOUT: My editor Zoya Sheftalovich and ambassador Ali Walker.
SUBSCRIBE to the POLITICO newsletter family: Brussels Playbook | London Playbook | EU Confidential | Sunday Crunch | EU Influence | D.C. Playbook | All our POLITICO Pro action morning newsletters
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